Trends & Emerging Technology

National Choices and Resource Allocation: Taiwan Cannot Do Everything and Win Everywhere

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Robin’s commentary (as of May 2025)

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English translation of the Chinese post originally published 2025-05-20. Translated 2026-11-05 with AI assistance. Historical figures and claims have not been updated or independently verified. 中文原文

Reading guide

Robin argues that semiconductors are Taiwan’s top priority and have put it in the global spotlight through choices about positioning, trade-offs, focus, and business models. With only 23 million people, Taiwan cannot do everything or win everywhere. China focuses resources on Olympic strengths such as diving and table tennis; South Korea knows its strengths in shooting and archery. Taiwan’s greater bottleneck is talent rather than capital. With fewer than 130,000 births a year, even if all those children entered semiconductor-related industries after graduating from college twenty years later, they might still not meet demand.

Key points

  • A country needs clear choices, positioning, and trade-offs.
  • It cannot do everything or win everywhere.
  • Talent is a greater bottleneck for Taiwan than capital.
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Full text — English translation

National Choices and Resource Allocation Semiconductors are currently Taiwan’s highest priority, putting it at the forefront of global attention. This has also drawn President Trump’s envy: he has repeatedly singled out TSMC and Taiwan, accusing them of stealing America’s chip industry. But Taiwan’s position results from choices, positioning, trade-offs, focus, and business models. Taiwan is neither a country of over a billion people nor the world’s dominant power. With just 23 million people, it must recognize that it cannot do everything and win everywhere. Consider the Olympics. China has 1.4 billion people but knows its strengths lie in diving and table tennis rather than track and field. South Korea, the closest comparison with Taiwan, knows its strengths in shooting and archery. Focus training and resources on events where you have confidence. Capital is a secondary constraint on Taiwan’s development; talent is more important. Fewer than 130,000 children are born annually. Even if all of them entered semiconductor-related industries after college twenty years later, they might still not be enough.

These articles are personal notes, book excerpts, and collected reprints. Figures and events reflect the time of the original publication, are not current information, and do not constitute investment advice.

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