Venture Capital & Investing

Investing Means Investing in ‘the Day After Tomorrow’

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Program notes with a reprint (M觀點 / M Viewpoint)

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Collected in Robin Shen’s Field Notes · Content type and attribution are shown above

English translation of the Chinese post originally published 2021-12-05. Translated 2026-10-27 with AI assistance. Historical figures and claims have not been updated or independently verified. 中文原文

Reading guide

In episode 77 of M觀點’s (M Viewpoint) Investing Is Hard, Miula compares NVIDIA and Tesla using three considerations: industry prospects and trends, the company’s moat, and management capability. Founders seeking VC should explain four things: industry structure and future trends; why the team deserves investment, including its accumulated advantages and responses to difficulty; why it can succeed rather than giant competitors; and completed validation and feedback. The reprinted passage argues for investing in ‘the day after tomorrow’: yesterday is past, today is crowded, and tomorrow is already expensive. The day after tomorrow is taking shape but remains uncertain, with early-round pricing and ample room to develop—the stage that most excites venture investors.

Key points

  • Miula looks at industry trends, moats, and management teams.
  • Explain four things to VCs, including why you can succeed instead of a giant competitor.
  • Yesterday is gone, today is crowded, tomorrow is expensive; invest in the day after tomorrow.
  • The attractive stage is taking shape but remains unclear, with pricing still in the earliest rounds.
Trees at different stages of growth with connected roots on cream paper, suggesting patient cultivation and lasting value.
Venture capital & investmentThematic illustration · AI generated

Full text — English translation

I listened to episode 77 of M觀點’s Investing Is Hard. Its NVIDIA-versus-Tesla analysis has much in common with this article. Miula says he focuses on three things when investing: 1. Industry prospects and trends. 2. The company’s moat and barriers to competition. 3. Management capability. When approaching VCs, you must also explain: 1. Industry structure and future development trends. 2. Why the management team deserves investment: distinctive advantages, long-term accumulation, experience, and how you faced and resolved past difficulties and obstacles. 3. Why you will succeed rather than other giant competitors. 4. Validation already completed and feedback received. ---- Investing means investing in ‘the day after tomorrow.’ Yesterday is already past; venture capital generally does not focus on the past. Today already has many people doing the work and many others investing. Competition is fierce. Tomorrow is also relatively mature, and valuations have often risen sharply. It is unsuitable for small investment firms and may already be at the final mile of Vision Fund-scale spending. The day after tomorrow is faintly taking shape but is not entirely clear. Investment pricing is still at the first or second round, with substantial room for future development. This is generally the point that most excites venture investors.

These articles are personal notes, book excerpts, and collected reprints. Figures and events reflect the time of the original publication, are not current information, and do not constitute investment advice.

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