Venture Capital & Investing

Confidence Needs Humility: Why a VC Might Say, ‘If You Disagree with Me, You Are Right’

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Robin’s commentary following a reprint of Sam Altman’s article

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Collected in Robin Shen’s Field Notes · Content type and attribution are shown above

English translation of the Chinese post originally published 2026-06-17. Translated 2026-11-05 with AI assistance. Historical figures and claims have not been updated or independently verified. 中文原文

Reading guide

The opening reprint from Sam Altman argues that successful people have usually made at least one correct prediction others thought wrong. Self-belief needs self-awareness: hear criticism on the initial assumption that it is true. Robin adds that founders are often confident and optimistic. As a VC, he frequently tells them that his views are personal, and that if theirs differ, they should not let him override their judgment. Many VCs remain open to learning. Founders likewise need humility, respect for uncertainty, and openness, because entrepreneurship contains so many pitfalls they do not know they do not know.

Key points

  • Balance confidence with humility, respect for uncertainty, and openness.
  • VC opinions are reference points; founders must exercise their own judgment.
  • Entrepreneurship contains many unknown pitfalls.
Trees at different stages of growth with connected roots on cream paper, suggesting patient cultivation and lasting value.
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Full text — English translation

Sam Altman: ‘Most successful people have made at least one correct call about the future when others generally thought them wrong. Otherwise they would have encountered much more competition.’ Self-belief has extraordinary power. The most successful people I know have confidence in themselves bordering on delusion. Develop this early. As evidence accumulates that your judgment is sound and you can keep delivering results, place greater trust in yourself. Without self-belief, it is difficult to entertain unconventional views about the future. Yet that is precisely where the greatest value is created. I remember Elon Musk showing me around the SpaceX factory years ago. He explained how each rocket component was made, but what stayed with me was his absolute confidence when discussing large rockets going to Mars. I left thinking: so this is what conviction looks like. Managing your own morale and your team’s is among the greatest challenges in most endeavors. It is almost impossible without strong self-belief. Unfortunately, greater ambition also invites greater efforts from the world to knock you down. Most successful people have made at least one correct call about the future when others generally thought them wrong. Otherwise they would have encountered much more competition. Self-belief must be balanced with self-awareness. I once hated criticism and deliberately avoided it. Now I try to hear it on the initial assumption that it is true, then decide whether to act. Seeking truth is difficult and often painful, but it separates belief in yourself from deceiving yourself. This balance also prevents you from appearing entitled and detached from reality. #HowToBeSuccessful #Original link in the first comment ---- Robin: ‘Founders are often confident and optimistic. As a VC, I frequently say: these are my personal views, but if yours differ, you are right—do not let me sway you. Most VCs keep an open attitude toward new knowledge and continually improve their understanding. Founders, too, need humility, respect for what they do not know, and openness alongside confidence. There are far too many pitfalls on the entrepreneurial road that you do not know you do not know.’

These articles are personal notes, book excerpts, and collected reprints. Figures and events reflect the time of the original publication, are not current information, and do not constitute investment advice.

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